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2Driver
03-03-2006, 09:25 AM
If this holds true, I am guessing the Castle rock pass will be closed for 06. As I understand it "closes" at 80% of full pool or 3620' ? :mad:
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RRFW Riverwire - GLEN CANYON DAM UPDATE
March 3, 2006
Glen Canyon Dam Operations
Releases from Glen Canyon Dam in March will average 9,800 cubic feet per
second (cfs) with a total of 600,000 acre-feet scheduled to be released for
the month. On Mondays through Sundays in March, daily release fluctuations
due to load following will likely vary between a low of 6,000 cfs (during
late evening and early morning off-peak hours) to a high of 12,000 cfs
(during on-peak hours, which in March occurs in the mid-morning hours and
again in the late afternoon and early evening hours).
The release volume from Glen Canyon Dam is currently scheduled to be 600,000
acre-feet in both April and May of 2006.
Upper Colorado River Basin Hydrology
February 2006 was a dry month in the Colorado River Basin. As February
began, basinwide snowpack above Lake Powell was above average. As the
month progressed, however, snowpack dropped below average with a total
decrease of 15 percentage points during the month. Precipitation in
the Upper Colorado River Basin during February was approximately 50 percent
of average. Basinwide snowpack (as of March 2, 2006) is currently 93
percent of average. The distribution of snow in the basin varies greatly by
geographical location. Snowpack in the San Juan River Basin, for instance,
is only 40 percent of average, while snowpack in the Yampa and Colorado
River headwaters is about 115 to 120 percent of
average.
Inflow to Lake Powell in water year 2006 (which began on October 1,
2005) has been near average, although it dropped off somewhat in February.
Unregulated inflow from October 2005 through February 2006 was 94 percent of
average. However, unregulated inflow in February 2006 was only 79 percent
of average.
In response to the minimal amount of precipitation in February, the National
Weather Service has reduced the inflow forecast for Lake Powell
this spring. The current forecasted April through July unregulated
inflow to Lake Powell for 2006 is 7.2 million acre-feet, 91 percent of
average.
The current elevation of Lake Powell is 3,589.7 feet (110.3 feet from full
pool). Current storage is 10.8 million acre-feet (44 percent of live
capacity).
The water surface elevation of Lake Powell is now near its seasonal low.
The water surface elevation is likely to remain near elevation 3,590 feet
during March 2006 and then begin to increase in April 2006, when anticipated
snowmelt runoff will cause inflow to exceed the level of release. The
current projected high elevation of Lake Powell in 2006 is about 3,620 feet
(80 feet from full pool), occurring in mid-July.
The actual high elevation could deviate significantly from this projection
however. Weather patterns from now through the end of spring will influence
the volume of inflow to Lake Powell during this year's April through July
snowmelt runoff season.
Upper Colorado River Basin Drought
The Upper Colorado River Basin experienced five consecutive years of extreme
drought from September 1999 through September 2004. In the summer of 1999,
Lake Powell was essentially full with reservoir storage at 97 percent of
capacity. Inflow volumes for five consecutive water years were
significantly below average. Total unregulated inflow in water years 2000,
2001, 2002, 2003, and 2004 was 62, 59, 25, 51, and 49 percent of average,
respectively. Lake Powell storage decreased through this five-year drought,
with reservoir storage reaching a low of 8.0 maf
(33 percent of capacity) in early April of 2005.
Hydrologic conditions improved in water year 2005 in the Upper Colorado
River Basin. Lake Powell increased by 2.77 million acre-feet (31 feet in
elevation) during water year 2005. Unregulated inflow to Lake Powell in
water year 2005 was 105 percent of average.
The effects of the drought remain visible at Lake Powell where reservoir
storage has been reduced. Lake Powell storage is currently only 44 percent
of capacity.
This release courtesy Tom Ryan, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation

That Guy
03-03-2006, 10:53 AM
Lots of facts and figures but what I got out of it is that significant amounts of water will continue to flow into Lake Powell this year which will help water levels. Nothing like the 5 year drought of 50% of normal inflows. So, it seems like a second good year of snowpack for Powell and another bad year for the Glen Canyon Institute.......Hooray... :crossx:

burtandnancy
03-03-2006, 06:12 PM
Todays National Lake Level report shows Lake Powell dropped 4 feet this week alone. Hope they can slow down the outflow. The gain at Lake Mead was only 1 foot...

77charger
03-03-2006, 06:27 PM
can be used at 3615

NuckinFutz
03-03-2006, 09:00 PM
Lots of facts and figures but what I got out of it is that significant amounts of water will continue to flow into Lake Powell this year which will help water levels. Nothing like the 5 year drought of 50% of normal inflows. So, it seems like a second good year of snowpack for Powell and another bad year for the Glen Canyon Institute.......Hooray... :crossx:
S'bark1, the offer still stands for you and you're better half to come north and see Powell with us at the lower than full water level. Things are still a little chilly up here, but each day of sunshine makes me look a little closer at the boat and I'm starting to get itchy to pull it out, gas it up and see if she still floats.

VegasHallett
03-03-2006, 09:01 PM
I thought the Castle Rock cut off will open if the water level gets to 3636' is that correct or is it lower than 3636'? :yuk:
Either way this sucks the wet one!

Sotally Tober
03-03-2006, 10:04 PM
I've always heard that it needed to 3620.

Debbolas
03-05-2006, 07:30 AM
I just hope the lake is up this year
:D

gramps
03-05-2006, 08:33 AM
anything under 3620 is pretty iffy...........a couple of D8's would help

Mardonzi
03-05-2006, 08:37 AM
Unfortunately, the projections aren't as good as they were a month ago,, but we can always hope that we get lots of storms in the March/ April months.
Water covers the cut at 3615, but it needs to be at 3620 before they will open it up for navigation.
Nuckin,,, I'd like to take you up on your Uplake tour,, it's been years since I've been north of Stanton Creek. It would be interesting to see what's up there with the lower levels.

gramps
03-05-2006, 08:56 AM
Here is a link to the daily water data for the lake.
http://lakepowell.water-data.com/WaterDB/LP_WaterDB.php
The lake should start to go back up around the end of this month, in the mean time it will probally go down about another 5 feet.

burtandnancy
03-05-2006, 09:47 AM
As Mardonzi points out, the lake has to come up 31 feets to make the cut. Thats a lot of water and I think it'll be a few years...

Mardonzi
03-05-2006, 10:18 AM
As Mardonzi points out, the lake has to come up 31 feets to make the cut. Thats a lot of water and I think it'll be a few years...
Then again,, we came up almost 60 last year alone,, so anything is possible...

NuckinFutz
03-05-2006, 11:14 AM
Mardonzi, just yell when your bringing the new boat north and we'll meet up.

That Guy
03-05-2006, 11:31 AM
Guy, sounds like fun....we'd like to do it maybe later in the summer. I will give you a call...thanks again. :rollside:

Mardonzi
03-05-2006, 12:12 PM
Mardonzi, just yell when your bringing the new boat north and we'll meet up.
I'm thinking of the weekend of the 25th... Run up, spend Saturday night in Bullfrog, and then home on Sunday... Gotta run all that nasty old gas out and Halls has 92 Octane,, so what better place to fill up?

Debbolas
03-05-2006, 01:17 PM
So will that pass be open or do we still have to drive through the "channel from hell" :crossx:

Mardonzi
03-05-2006, 01:57 PM
The word I got from AZLakeLizard,, who works for the concessionaire onlake, is that the cut is projected to be open, but probably only for the month of July, after peak runoff happens. After that, it's back through the channel.

Wild Horses
03-05-2006, 03:48 PM
I'm thinking of the weekend of the 25th... Run up, spend Saturday night in Bullfrog, and then home on Sunday... Gotta run all that nasty old gas out and Halls has 92 Octane,, so what better place to fill up?
Hey Don,
I lost a motor on that Halls Crossing premium gas, melted a hole in one of my pistons. I launched with full tanks of good gas and ran it hard. After I emptied one of the tanks I filled up at Halls because they had Premium :yuk: after running the 2nd tank dry I switched tanks and the first time I opened her up on a good run, melt down. :mad: I wish there was a way to check their fuel before using it. :cry:

NuckinFutz
03-05-2006, 08:13 PM
Hey Don,
I lost a motor on that Halls Crossing premium gas, melted a hole in one of my pistons. I launched with full tanks of good gas and ran it hard. After I emptied one of the tanks I filled up at Halls because they had Premium :yuk: after running the 2nd tank dry I switched tanks and the first time I opened her up on a good run, melt down. :mad: I wish there was a way to check their fuel before using it. :cry:
Sorry to hear about a smoked piston, but I have had good luck in the past with Halls fuel. My old boat ran 92 and I filled at Halls numerous times and had no problems with 650 hours on the engine when I sold it. I sold the boat two summers ago and haven't fueled with 92 since. I do know the octane boost mixed with 87 at Dangling Rope never ran worth a shit.

NuckinFutz
03-05-2006, 08:14 PM
I'm thinking of the weekend of the 25th... Run up, spend Saturday night in Bullfrog, and then home on Sunday... Gotta run all that nasty old gas out and Halls has 92 Octane,, so what better place to fill up?
I'll have to check with my schedule that will be out in a couple days to see what the 25th weekend has in store, but I'm looking to get the boat wet this month and I'll shoot for the 25th if days off will work. I get back with you.

INSman
03-10-2006, 08:23 PM
Doppler radar looks like some very heavy rain/snow up there right now !!!! :) Open that damn pass :rollside:

INSman
03-11-2006, 09:02 AM
update, anyone, Bueler ???

Debbolas
03-11-2006, 10:13 AM
LIfe moves pretty fast..... :p

NuckinFutz
03-11-2006, 07:32 PM
We won't be making it on the 25th weekend. Work says I stay home that weekend, but the next one is calling my name pretty loud. That is if the snow quits by then and I don't have to wear my snowmobile gear at the lake. This series of storms should help the water forecast- Yeh ha!!!

Mardonzi
03-12-2006, 07:30 AM
As of Friday, March 10th, The San Juan and Animas River drainages had Tuesday, Mar 14th.
I can forsee an ammended water year projection coming out after this storm... Let is snow, Let it snow.. Let is snow!!