Hurricane prediction.

[HCS]

How in the hell do they think they can predict the path of a hurrican?
Check these out.
Rita prediction. (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/7845030)
Look at the path of the other Hurricans. Doesn't look very predictable to me.

[Rod-64]

My mom's name is Rita and she's unpredictable.....
(But I love her very much. )

[Creator]

Well lets see. They've been doing it for years and every year technology gets better and they always seem to be pretty close. They nailed where Katrina was going to go.

[uvindex]

The National Hurricane Center uses at least five computer models. The single track you see on the news is often the average of the tracks from the various models (although the people at the NHC can adjust the track based on their expertise and other factors). There's all kinds of info about the models on the NHC site. Here are the current models for Rita:
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/im...0518_model.gif

[HCS]

Look at the path of Katrina compared to Jeanne and Charley.
Then where the chart says Rita is going. It's like drunk driving.

[Liberator TJ1984]

Out in the Gulf with all that warm water besides getting stronger :crossx: there are lots of factors that can change it's course , ....fronts, upper wind shear , along with the regular air currents trends hell it could just stall out for days ,then go a completely new route

[Rexone]

The National Hurricane Center uses at least five computer models. The single track you see on the news is often the average of the tracks from the various models (although the people at the NHC can adjust the track based on their expertise and other factors). There's all kinds of info about the models on the NHC site. Here are the current models for Rita:
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/im...0518_model.gif
Well no matter how you slice it Texas is gettin wet based on those.
Hopefully it won't make a right turn and hit LA again. :frown:

[Tom Brown]

I think I'll fill my boat tank.

[Liberator TJ1984]

If you look at the predicted sustained winds ???
at 48 hrs. its 143mph .....but at 72hrs. it drops to 137mph..
for some reason to me , being out in the Gulf and all that Warm Water ...I just dont see that happening , it should get only stronger ???? No ??

[HCS]

I think I'll fill my boat tank.
Might as well throw a dart at Canada. :notam: